Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIRK-18 in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados from 22 Sep 2018 15:00 UTC to 23 Sep 2018 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIRK-18

in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIRK-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (27 Sep 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (St. Vincent & the Grenadines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	93 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to 610000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	22 Sep 2018 15:00	93	No people	No people
2	22 Sep 2018 21:00	93	290 thousand	No people	Barbados
3	23 Sep 2018 03:00	93	290 thousand	No people	Barbados
4	23 Sep 2018 09:00	93	480 thousand	No people	Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada
5	23 Sep 2018 15:00	93	560 thousand	No people	Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
6	23 Sep 2018 21:00	93	610 thousand	No people	Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	22 Sep 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	8.3, -23.6
2	22 Sep 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	8.6, -24.8
3	23 Sep 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9, -26.4
4	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.1, -28
5	23 Sep 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.3, -30.2
6	23 Sep 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.5, -32.3
6	24 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	9.9, -35.3
6	24 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	10.2, -39.5
6	25 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	10.4, -43.4
6	25 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	10.6, -47.1
6	26 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	11.6, -53.4
6	27 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	610000 people	12.9, -58.1	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
6	28 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	14, -63

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Barbados
St. Lucia
Martinique
St. Vincent & the Grenadines

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Barbados	Barbados
St. Lucia	Saint Lucia
Martinique	Martinique
St. Vincent & the Grenadines	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Bridgetown	Saint Michael	Barbados	Capital	97000 people
Castries	Castries	St. Lucia	Capital	13000 people
Kingstown	Saint George	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	Capital	18000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Grantley Adams International	BGI	52	Civ.	Paved	Yes	11000
Hewanorra International	UVF	3	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9000
Vigie	SLU	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6200
E T Joshua	SVD	20	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4600
J F Mitchell		4	Civ.	Paved	No	3600
Canouan		5	Civ.	Paved	No	3600

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Bridgetown	BBBGI	Barbados
Speightstown		Barbados
Le Marin		Martinique
Vieux Fort		Saint Lucia
Castries	LCSLU	Saint Lucia
Cul de Sac Bay	LCCDS	Saint Lucia
Kingstown	VCKTN	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Admiralty Bay		Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in San Fernando, Trinidad and Tobago. This height is estimated for 27 Sep 2018 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (99 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 23 Sep 2018 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	27 Sep 2018 18:00	San Fernando	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	27 Sep 2018 17:00	Plaisance	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 18:00	California	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 18:00	Hermitage	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 18:00	Point Fortin	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 18:00	Parry Lands	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 18:00	Carapichaima	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 18:00	Cacandee Settlement	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 14:00	Palencho	Venezuela	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 14:00	La Lune	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 18:00	Fullarton	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 18:00	Irois	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	Dibe	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	Port-of-Spain	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	26 Sep 2018 18:00	Burnside	Suriname	0.3
	26 Sep 2018 18:00	Totness	Suriname	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Cabo Blanco	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	La Esmeralda	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 17:00	Coromandel Settlement	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 17:00	Chatham	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 18:00	Los Bajos	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Guaca	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Barcelona	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	San Juan de las Galdonas	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	Carupano	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	Puerto Santo	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 03:00	La Linea	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 18:00	Morne Diablo	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Unare	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 18:00	Blanchisseuse	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Matelot	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	El Morro de Barcelona	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Puerto Piritu	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 13:00	Redhead	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	Caimancito	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	Rio Caribe	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	San Juan	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Grande Riviere	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	Soledad	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Macuro	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Puerto la Cruz	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	El Chaure	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Cardoncito	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 16:00	San Francique	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Salibea	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 13:00	Rampanalgas	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Coolie Block	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	Las Cuevas	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Belle Garden	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Speyside	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Unare	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	Puerto Escondido	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	La Pastora	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Piedras Negras	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	La Uva	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	Guamache	Venezuela	0.2
	26 Sep 2018 17:00	Nieuw Amsterdam	Suriname	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	La Guardia	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Altagracia	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	El Jose	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	No Alonso	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	Agua Fria	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 20:00	La Retraite	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	El Yaque	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	San Antonio	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Porlamar	Venezuela	0.1
	25 Sep 2018 12:00	Ponta Curua	Brazil	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	Mount Pleasant	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	San Pedro de Coche	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Manzanillo	Venezuela	0.1
	25 Sep 2018 12:00	Limao	Brazil	0.1
	25 Sep 2018 12:00	Igarape Grande	Brazil	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Ariota	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Scarborough	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Castara	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Chacachacare	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Punta de Piedras	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Paraguchi	Venezuela	0.1
	25 Sep 2018 12:00	Buritizal	Brazil	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	San Antonio	Venezuela	0.1
	25 Sep 2018 11:00	Anajas	Brazil	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Sam Lord's Castle	Barbados	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	El Guamache	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Mariguitar	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Uchire	Venezuela	0.1
	25 Sep 2018 11:00	Brigue	Brazil	0.1
	25 Sep 2018 05:00	Colonia do Pescadores	Brazil	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 17:00	Hamilton	Suriname	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 22:00	Hackney	Guyana	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	Puerto de Hierro	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 19:00	Pampatar	Venezuela	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 15:00	Nieuw Nickerie	Suriname	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Arapo	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Santa Fe	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Collins	Barbados	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Bathsheba	Barbados	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Saint Lawrence Gap	Barbados	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Oistins	Barbados	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 21:00	Gibbons	Barbados	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.